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Know why deals die - where, when, and if it is getting worse.Every loss priced, ranked, and traced to its stage.

Won / Lost turns the softest data in your business into a number. Every lost deal tagged by reason, priced in revenue, and mapped to the stage and source it came from - so the reasons you lose become a ranked, fixable list instead of a pile of anecdotes.

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Won / LostDemonstrative data
Price
Timing
Competitor
Scope / fit
No budget
Stage $
Enquiry
$0.2M
2%
$0.9M
7%
$0.1M
1%
$0.2M
2%
$0.7M
6%
$2.1M
Qualified
$0.4M
3%
$0.8M
7%
$0.4M
3%
$0.3M
2%
$0.5M
4%
$2.4M
Quote
$1.1M
9%
$0.6M
5%
$0.9M
7%
$0.5M
4%
$0.3M
2%
$3.4M
Negotiation
$2.3M
19%
$0.5M
4%
$1.1M
9%
$0.4M
3%
$0.1M
1%
$4.4M
Reason $
$4.0M
$2.8M
$2.5M
$1.4M
$1.6M
$12.3M
Darker = more revenue lost there. Price dominates and concentrates late, at Negotiation ($2.3M); Timing losses cluster early. Click any cell in-product for the lost-deal cohort.
Win rate 90d
34%
▲ 2pp
Loss $ 90d
$14.2M
1,420 deals
Top reason
Price
28% of $
Worst stage
Negotiation
41% drop
Cancellations
8%
$7.2M post-win
Competitor
22%
4 named rivals
Service analytics from the team behind $150M+ in revenue influenced
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What it answers

The questions you ask after every lost deal.

Not a win-rate number on a slide. Why deals die, which losses you can actually fix, and where in the funnel they slip.

01
Why are we really losing deals?
Every lost deal tagged by reason and priced in revenue, so the loss that costs the most is ranked first, not the one shouted loudest.
02
What is our real win rate?
Win rate on deals that reached a decision, by segment, channel and rep, with the stalled-forever deals separated out.
03
Which losses are actually fixable?
Price, timing and fit separated, so you spend effort on the reasons a change in approach can win back.
04
Where in the funnel do we lose?
Loss reason mapped to the stage it struck, so you fix the leak at its source rather than at the end.
05
Who do we lose to, and how often do we win?
Competitive win rate by rival, so you know where you genuinely compete and where you are being used as a quote.
06
Is our win rate holding, by segment?
Win rate over time across segments, with significance, so a quiet decline in one is caught early.
Reason trends

Catch a shifting loss mix before the quarter does.

A flat win rate can hide a loss mix tilting hard toward one reason. Twelve weeks per reason shows which are accelerating and which are decaying, so you act on a trend in week two rather than explain it in month three.

  • Per reason - each loss reason on its own twelve-week line
  • Direction, flagged - accelerating losses called in red
  • Tied to the heatmap - every reason drills to stage and deal
See your reason trends
Won / Lost · reason trendLive
Reason trend · $M lost per week, last 12 weeks
Price+74%
$5.4M last wkP50 $4.3M
Timing-33%
$2.4M last wkP50 $3.0M
Competitor+71%
$2.4M last wkP50 $2.1M
Scope / fit+25%
$1.5M last wkP50 $1.4M
No budget-44%
$1.0M last wkP50 $1.3M
Unresponsive-44%
$0.5M last wkP50 $0.6M
Price is accelerating (+74%) while Timing and No budget decay - the loss mix is shifting toward a fixable reason.
The closing leak

Fix the stage where the most revenue dies.

Knowing price is your top reason is half the story; knowing it strikes at negotiation tells you what to change. Breaking the worst stage into sub-reasons separates the losses a pricing or response change can win back from the ones you were never going to take.

  • Sub-reason detail - lower-bidder vs margin vs scope, split out
  • Recoverable vs not - the winnable losses, isolated
  • Dwell before loss - how long deals sat before dying
See your closing leak
Won / Lost · closing leakLive
Negotiation → Won leak · sub-reasons
Lower bidder won
38%
of stage loss
Margin-floor breach
24%
of stage loss
Spec / scope change
18%
of stage loss
Slow response
12%
of stage loss
Other
8%
of stage loss
41% of proposals at negotiation never close. Lower-bidder wins (38%) and margin-floor breaches (24%) lead - both are recoverable with the right pricing move, median dwell 42 days before lost.
Cancellation cohort

See if post-win cancellations are systemic.

A win is not revenue until it is delivered. The cohort grid tracks deals that cancelled after they were won, by when they signed and how long they lasted, so a one-off becomes visible as a pattern - and you can tell a bad quarter from a broken process.

  • By cohort and age - when they signed vs when they cancelled
  • Systemic vs noise - a spike in one bucket is a pattern
  • Exposure, priced - the revenue at risk, not a count
See your cancellation cohort
Won / Lost · cancellation cohortLive
0-30d
31-60d
61-90d
90d+
Jan '26
$0.4M
$0.9M
$0.6M
$0.3M
Feb '26
$0.5M
$1.1M
$0.7M
$0.4M
Mar '26
$0.6M
$1.4M
$0.9M
$0.5M
Apr '26
$0.7M
$1.8M
$1.0M
·
May '26
$0.8M
$1.2M
·
·
Jun '26
$0.5M
·
·
·
Post-win cancellations by cohort and age. Recent cohorts spike at the 31-60 day bucket; $7.2M exposure overall, most clustering after a demand slowdown. Empty cells have not matured yet.
Where the numbers come from

Built on your systems, reconciled to your records.

Pipeline Money is not a parallel set of figures. It joins the systems you already run into one number that ties out, then keeps it current.

Your CRM

Every deal, stage, owner and close date. We map your real pipeline stages with you, so the funnel matches how your business actually sells.

HubSpotSalesforcePipedrive

Your marketing channels

Spend, clicks and campaigns from every paid source, joined to the deals they created with server-side tracking, lag-corrected to your sales cycle.

GoogleMetaLinkedInMicrosoft

Your operations software

Quoting, job management and finance, so contracted and settled revenue is grounded in delivery, not just CRM optimism.

Job softwareQuotingXero / MYOBCustom
Proof

What operators get when losses become data.

When every loss is priced and traced, the winnable ones rise to the top and the rest stop draining the team. A sample of the outcomes.

Field services
30:1return
Australian Air Conditioning & Electrical
Heating & cooling
$3M in closed revenue from $100K of spend - 2,600 qualified enquiries traced to the jobs they became over twelve months.
Read case study
Field services
$5Mnew revenue
I Heat & Cool
Heating & cooling
A full year of new revenue with cost-per-deal cut from $90 to $41.95 once spend was judged on closed jobs, not leads.
Read case study
Field services
$840Kpipeline
King Cooling
Heating & cooling
1,500 enquiries at a $27 cost per enquiry, with 28% converting to booked jobs - visible, stage by stage, in one view.
Read case study
Questions

The things buyers ask.

It is the most common starting point. We help standardise your reason taxonomy in onboarding and reconcile it against the deal record, so the reasons become consistent enough to act on rather than free-text noise.
Stalled and lost are separated explicitly. Win rate is measured on deals that reached a decision, and the perpetually-open deals are tracked in their own view so they do not flatter or distort the number.
Yes. Every reason is sliceable by the stage it struck, the segment, the channel and the rep, and traces back to the underlying lost deals.
From the loss reason and competitor fields on closed-lost deals in your CRM, standardised so head-to-head win rates are consistent across reps.
Every loss is priced in pipeline value, so the reasons are ranked by the revenue at stake, not by how often they are typed.

Turn your losses into a fixable list.

Connect your CRM. We standardise your loss reasons, price them in revenue, and trace each to the stage and rival it came from.

01

Connect your CRM

Deals, stages, reasons and competitors.

02

Standardise reasons

A taxonomy you can actually act on.

03

Price every loss

Each reason in revenue at stake.

04

Map to the stage

See where each reason strikes.

05

Get the fixes

The winnable losses, ranked.

Book a consult Talk to an analyst
BlufireLIVE DEMO
Diagnostics
Demonstrative data. A sample of the top-level views - the full drill-downs live in the product.
Pipeline MoneyDemonstrative data · click between views
Pipeline Money · spend traced to closed revenue
Click139,760
Enquiry3,898
Qualified2,350
Quote806
Negotiation544
Won465
Stage funnel · leakage waterfall
Enquiry
3,898 · $48.7M
entered
Qualified
2,350 · $34.1M
60.3%−$6.1M
Quote
806 · $24.9M
34.3%−$9.2M
Negotiation
544 · $18.2M
67.5%−$3.4M
Won
465 · $12.4M
85.5%−$1.6M
Largest leak: Qualified → Quote. $9.2M of qualified pipeline never reaches a quote (34.3% conversion vs 41% prior, significant).
Enquiry cohort · % reached won, by weeks since
Cohort
W0
W2
W4
W6
W8
W10
W12
Jun '26
0.4
1.1
2.0
·
·
·
·
May '26
0.5
1.4
2.8
3.9
4.6
·
·
Apr '26
0.6
1.6
3.0
4.4
5.5
6.1
·
Mar '26
0.5
1.5
3.1
4.7
5.9
6.7
7.0
Feb '26
0.7
1.8
3.4
5.0
6.2
6.9
7.3
Jan '26
0.6
1.6
3.2
4.8
6.0
6.8
7.1
% of enquiries won  still maturing (lag-corrected on hover)
Customers · churn & expansion risk
Customers by stage · last 13 weeks, churn & expansion risk scored
EnquiryQualifiedQuoteNegotiationWon
Churn-risk model · at-risk customers, scored
CustomerValueChurn riskSignalGet ahead of it
Atlas Build Co$142KHighNo job in 9mo, 2 quotes unansweredOwner call + retention offer this week
Marrickville Group$98KHighSpend down 41% QoQ, slower repliesAccount review, find the blocker
Coastal Facilities$76KMedSmaller jobs, longer gapsCheck-in + maintenance upsell
Northgate Pty$64KMedSingle job, no repeat in 6moNurture sequence + case study
Vertex Services$51KLowSteady, on cycleMonitor
$1.9M of revenue sits in 21 accounts scored high or medium churn risk. Each carries the signal that flagged it and the move to get ahead of it - the model drives the save, not just the dashboard.
Retention · % of customers and revenue kept over time
0%50%100%Logo retentionRevenue retentionDAYS SINCE ENQUIRY (still open)
You keep 76% of customers and 84% of their revenue at 12 months. The gap between the lines is where small accounts churn but big ones stay - and where a retention play pays back fastest.
Channels · where the work comes from, and which we win
Enquiry share by source · blended win-rate overlay
Repeat Referral Website Google Meta PartnerWin rate
0%50%100%26%32%38%w-12w-9w-6w-3w-0
Stacked share is where enquiries come from; the white line is blended win rate (right axis). Repeat +4pp and Referral +2pp over 13 weeks.
Win rate by source · enquiry to won, last 90 days
Repeat
46% win
312 enq · avg $54k+3pp
Referral
38% win
264 enq · avg $48k+1pp
Partner
30% win
48 enq · avg $65k+4pp
Meta
30% win
120 enq · avg $32k+0pp
Website
26% win
184 enq · avg $42k-1pp
Google
21% win
64 enq · avg $24k-1pp
Repeat and Referral close at nearly double the rate of paid search - but paid brings volume Repeat never will.
Enq→Qual
Qual→Quote
Quote→Neg
Neg→Won
Repeat
92%
88%
78%
72%
Referral
86%
82%
70%
65%
Meta
82%
76%
64%
55%
Website
78%
73%
58%
48%
Partner
74%
68%
52%
43%
Google
68%
60%
51%
40%
Each row is a source, each column a pipeline transition. Repeat stays tight through every stage; paid sources leak hardest at Negotiation → Won, the price-pressure stage.
People & Performance · rep, team and region
13-week attainment ranking · teams
#1#2#3#4#5#6Metro West98%Metro North94%Eastern91%Northern88%Southern84%Regional79%w1w4w7w10w13
Each line is a team; y-axis is rank (1 = top). Crossings reveal real shifts. Southern slid from #2 to #5 over the quarter.
Repeat
Google
Meta
Referral
Outbound
S. Tran
-10
+22
+118
+5
-20
R. Okafor
+30
-15
+12
+44
-30
J. Mehta
+15
+40
-25
+30
+10
L. Cheng
-20
+33
+28
-10
+25
D. Ross
+45
-18
+9
+20
-24
A. Pulu
+12
+25
-30
+40
+15
N. Haddad
-40
+18
+35
-12
+28
M. Anderson
+20
-22
+8
+15
-54
Cell = a rep's conversion on that source vs their team median. S. Tran converts +118% on Meta; M. Anderson is -54% on Outbound. A routing signal, surfaced for your judgement.
Activity per rep · weighted touches / week
median 73/wk30507090110ACTIVITIES / WEEK · dot size = attainment
Each dot is a rep; size is attainment. Spread runs 45 to 112 a week, but activity and conversion correlate only 0.42 - three light-activity reps still close above median (large dots left of the line).
Won / Lost · why deals die
Price
Timing
Competitor
Scope / fit
No budget
Stage $
Enquiry
$0.2M
2%
$0.9M
7%
$0.1M
1%
$0.2M
2%
$0.7M
6%
$2.1M
Qualified
$0.4M
3%
$0.8M
7%
$0.4M
3%
$0.3M
2%
$0.5M
4%
$2.4M
Quote
$1.1M
9%
$0.6M
5%
$0.9M
7%
$0.5M
4%
$0.3M
2%
$3.4M
Negotiation
$2.3M
19%
$0.5M
4%
$1.1M
9%
$0.4M
3%
$0.1M
1%
$4.4M
Reason $
$4.0M
$2.8M
$2.5M
$1.4M
$1.6M
$12.3M
Darker = more revenue lost there. Price dominates and concentrates late, at Negotiation ($2.3M); Timing losses cluster early. Click any cell in-product for the lost-deal cohort.
Reason trend · $M lost per week, last 12 weeks
Price+74%
$5.4M last wkP50 $4.3M
Timing-33%
$2.4M last wkP50 $3.0M
Competitor+71%
$2.4M last wkP50 $2.1M
Scope / fit+25%
$1.5M last wkP50 $1.4M
No budget-44%
$1.0M last wkP50 $1.3M
Unresponsive-44%
$0.5M last wkP50 $0.6M
Price is accelerating (+74%) while Timing and No budget decay - the loss mix is shifting toward a fixable reason.
Negotiation → Won leak · sub-reasons
Lower bidder won
38%
of stage loss
Margin-floor breach
24%
of stage loss
Spec / scope change
18%
of stage loss
Slow response
12%
of stage loss
Other
8%
of stage loss
41% of proposals at negotiation never close. Lower-bidder wins (38%) and margin-floor breaches (24%) lead - both are recoverable with the right pricing move, median dwell 42 days before lost.
Velocity & Lag · how fast money moves
Survival curves · enquiry to won, by source
0%50%100%RepeatReferralWebsiteGoogleDAYS SINCE ENQUIRY (still open)
Each line is the share of enquiries still open over time. Repeat converts fast - half are won by day 30; Google carries a long tail.
Time-in-stage · P10-P90 days, by step (funnel order)
0d10d20d30d40d50dEnquiryQualifiedQuoteNegotiation
Box = P25-P75, the line is the median, whiskers are P10-P90. Quote is the slowest and most variable stage - median 18 days, with a P90 tail stretching to 44.
Lag-corrected forecast · next 90 days
Bankable
$8.1M
won + near-certain
In-flight
$15.0M
open, weighted
Projected
$18.2M
90% CI $15.1-21.6M
Coverage
1.8×
vs plan
In-flight pipe is lag-corrected from your own cycle, so the $18.2M projection reflects how deals really mature, not a straight line.
Geography · zone by zone
Pipeline by delivery zone · $ won, sized by colour
Metro North
$4.8M
42% win
Metro West
$3.9M
38% win
Inner East
$2.7M
36% win
Northern
$2.1M
34% win
Southern
$1.6M
30% win
Western
$1.4M
28% win
Regional A
$1.1M
26% win
Regional B
$0.8M
24% win
Coastal
$0.6M
22% win
Metro North and Metro West are 38% of won work this quarter. Coastal and Regional B see thin flow and lower win rates.
Top zones · won $, enquiries, win rate
Metro North
$4.8M
132 enq · 42% win
Metro West
$3.9M
118 enq · 38% win
Inner East
$2.7M
84 enq · 36% win
Northern
$2.1M
72 enq · 34% win
Southern
$1.6M
58 enq · 30% win
Coastal
$0.6M
26 enq · 22% win
Bars are won revenue; the north carries the quarter. Coastal brings enquiries but converts at half the rate of Metro North.
Win rate · source × zone
M.North
M.West
East
North
South
Repeat
46%
42%
40%
34%
30%
Referral
38%
40%
36%
30%
28%
Website
26%
24%
30%
28%
22%
Google
21%
20%
24%
26%
20%
Meta
30%
28%
26%
22%
24%
Referral wins hardest in Metro West; Repeat dominates the north. Route effort to the source that wins each zone.
Pipeline Economics · CAC, payback, LTV:CAC
Cost per enquiry · as it escalates through the funnel
Per enquiry
$116
raw acquisition
Per qualified
$198
after qualification
Per quote
$305
after quoting effort
Per won (CAC)
$584
fully loaded
Acquisition looks cheap at $116 an enquiry; loaded through to a won deal the true CAC is $584. The gap is where efficiency is won or lost.
Pipe coverage · region × quarter (× plan)
Q1
Q2
Q3
This Q
Metro
1.4×
1.6×
1.7×
1.9×
Northern
1.2×
1.3×
1.5×
1.6×
Southern
1.0×
1.1×
1.2×
1.4×
Regional
0.8×
0.9×
1.0×
1.1×
Metro is well covered at 1.9× plan; Regional trails at 1.1× - where the next bit of pipeline-building should aim.
Lifetime value vs loaded CAC · by source
RepeatReferralPartnerMetaWebsiteGoogle$0k$20k$40k$60k$0$60$120$180LOADED CAC · up-left is best
Up and to the left is best - high lifetime value at low cost. Repeat sits top-left ($54k LTV, $66 CAC, 8.2:1); Google is bottom-right, barely clearing its loaded cost at 1.7:1.